Two of the top teams in the league, the Tampa Bay Lightning (second in the Eastern Conference at 29-13-4) and the Dallas Stars (second in the Western Conference at 27-12-9), square off on Sunday, Jan. 18 at 2 p.m. ET on NHL Network.
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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will secure the win in Sunday's hockey action.
In the last 10 contests, the Stars are 2-5-3. They have put up 26 goals, while their opponents have scored 32. They have gone on the power play 22 times during that span, and have capitalized with three goals (13.6% of opportunities).
Lightning vs. Stars Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final result of Stars 4, Lightning 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Stars (+102)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 29-13-4 overall and 6-4-10 in overtime matchups.
- Tampa Bay is 7-7-2 (16 points) in its 16 games decided by one goal.
- The four times this season the Lightning finished a game with only one goal, they went 1-2-1 (three points).
- Tampa Bay has finished 3-5-3 in the 11 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering nine points).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 29 games (25-4-0, 50 points).
- In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it picked up 22 points after finishing 10-3-2.
- In the 24 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 12-9-3 (27 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 21 times, and went 16-4-1 (33 points).
Stars Splits and Trends
- The Stars have a 27-12-9 record this season and are 4-9-13 in games that have required overtime.
- Dallas has earned 26 points (10-3-6) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
- In seven games this season when the Stars ended a game with just one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-5-1).
- When Dallas has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned seven points (2-2-3 record).
- The Stars have scored more than two goals 33 times, earning 53 points from those matchups (24-4-5).
- This season, Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal in 14 games and registered 24 points with a record of 12-2-0.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 11-4-1 (23 points).
- The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 29 games. The Stars went 15-6-8 in those matchups (38 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Stars AVG | Stars Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.48 | Goals Scored | 3.31 | 8th |
| 2nd | 2.54 | Goals Allowed | 2.75 | 5th |
| 20th | 27.5 | Shots | 25.2 | 29th |
| 7th | 26.3 | Shots Allowed | 27.9 | 13th |
| 15th | 20.41% | Power Play % | 28.78% | 2nd |
| 4th | 83.89% | Penalty Kill % | 79.74% | 16th |
Lightning vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: NHL Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
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