Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction & Picks - March 6

The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-21-4) will attempt to continue a six-game home win streak when they face the Buffalo Sabres (24-30-6) on Thursday, March 6 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Watch the NHL, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link to sign up.

Prepare for this matchup with a glimpse at who we project to come out on top in Thursday's game.

Over the last 10 contests, the Sabres have gone 5-4-1 while putting up 35 total goals (four power-play goals on 26 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 15.4%). They have conceded 33 goals.

Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final tally of Lightning 5, Sabres 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-250)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

Catch NHL action all year long on Fubo.

Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 36-21-4 record overall, with a 5-4-9 record in games that have needed overtime.
• In the 18 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 7-8-3 record (good for 17 points).
• In the seven games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-6-1.
• Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering two points).
• The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 43 games (36-6-1, 73 points).
• In the 22 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 32 points after finishing 16-6-0.
• In games when it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 19-12-0 (38 points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 16-6-4 to record 36 points.

Sabres Splits and Trends

• The Sabres have posted a record of 4-6-10 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 24-30-6.
• Buffalo has earned 21 points (8-6-5) in its 19 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Sabres registered just one goal in eight games and they've earned two points (1-7-0) in those contests.
• Buffalo has earned three points (1-13-1 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Sabres have scored three or more goals in 35 games, earning 49 points from those contests.
• Buffalo has scored a lone power-play goal in 23 games this season and has registered 19 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Buffalo is 9-12-2 (20 points).
• The Sabres' opponents have had more shots in 37 games. The Sabres went 15-18-4 in those matchups (34 points).

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida

Sign up for Fubo to watch the Lightning square off against Sabres.