Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - February 9

The Tampa Bay Lightning (30-20-4) will aim to prolong a three-game win streak when they play the Montreal Canadiens (25-25-5) on the road on Sunday, February 9 at 1:00 PM ET on NHL Network.

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Before this matchup, here is who we predict to bring home the win in Sunday's hockey action.

In the last 10 contests, the Canadiens have registered a 3-6-1 record after putting up 23 total goals (four power-play goals on 23 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 17.4%). Their opponents have scored a combined 35 goals in those games.

Lightning vs. Canadiens Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final score of Lightning 4, Canadiens 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-172)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning (30-20-4 overall) have a 5-4-9 record in games that have needed overtime.
• Tampa Bay has 17 points (7-7-3) in the 17 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the six games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-5-1.
• Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
• The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 37 games (30-6-1, 61 points).
• In the 17 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has an 11-6-0 record (22 points).
• In the 29 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 17-12-0 (34 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 22 games. The Lightning finished 12-6-4 in those contests (28 points).

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens (25-25-5 overall) have posted a record of 7-5-12 in matchups that have needed OT this season.
• In the 17 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 25 points.
• This season the Canadiens registered only one goal in seven games and have gone 2-4-1 (five points).
• Montreal has six points (2-9-2) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
• The Canadiens have scored at least three goals 32 times, earning 44 points from those matchups (21-9-2).
• This season, Montreal has recorded a lone power-play goal in 24 games and picked up 27 points with a record of 12-9-3.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Montreal has posted a record of 12-8-0 (24 points).
• The Canadiens' opponents have had more shots in 33 games. The Canadiens went 12-16-5 in those contests (29 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Bell Centre in Montréal, Quebec

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